On the Cusp: From Population Boom to Bust by Charles S. Pearson

By Charles S. Pearson

for far of its background, human inhabitants progress elevated at a glacial speed. The demographic expense simply soared approximately 2 hundred years in the past, climaxing among the years 1950 and 2000. In that 50-year span, the inhabitants grew greater than it had within the prior 5,000 years. even though those uncooked numbers are remarkable, they cover the truth that the expansion fee of inhabitants crowned out within the Nineteen Sixties and will be unfavorable later this century. The inhabitants increase is coming near near a inhabitants bust, regardless of the present international inhabitants of 7 billion people.

In On the Cusp, economist Charles Pearson explores the which means of this inhabitants pattern from the arc of demographic development to say no. He reports Thomas Malthus's well-known, yet fallacious, 1798 argument that human inhabitants could exceed the earth's wearing ability. That argument has resurfaced, although, within the present environmental period and less than the specter of worldwide warming. studying inhabitants tendencies via twin lenses -- demography and economics -- Pearson examines the aptitude possibilities and demanding situations of inhabitants decline and getting older. getting older is sort of common and should speed up. Mitigating untoward fiscal results may well require regulations to spice up fertility (which has plunged), raise immigration, and paintings longer, tougher, and smarter -- in addition to adopt pension and overall healthiness care reform, all of that have hidden charges. The writing is rigorous yet no longer technical, and is complemented via a necessary set of figures and tables.

Sharp, daring, and sometimes humorous, Pearson's examine has thought-provoking implications for destiny public regulations. He ends his research with a modestly hopeful end, noting that either the wealthy and the terrible face a brand new demographic order. basic readers and scholars alike will locate On the Cusp an informative and fascinating read.

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